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½²×ù±êÌ⣺ On the Fundamental Diagram for Freeway Traffic: A Novel Calibration Approach for Single-Regime Models ¼ÓȨ×îÓ×¶þ³Ë·¨±ê¶¨½»Í¨ÖÐÃܶÈ-¿ìÂʸù»ù¹ØÏµ

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Íõ˧°²²©Ê¿£¬1984ÄêÉú£¬Ä¿Ç°ÊÇÃÀ¹úŷ·Ã÷´óѧ(Old Dominion University)ÉÌѧԺÖúÀí½ÌÊÚ ¡£Ëû±¾¿Æ±ÏÒµÓÚÇ廪´óѧ»úе¹¤³Ìϵ£¨È«ÏµµÚÒ»Ãû£©£»Ë¶Ê¿±ÏÒµÓÚÇ廪´óѧ¹¤Òµ¹¤³Ìϵ¡¢µÂ¹úÑÇ衹¤Òµ´óѧ(RWTH Aachen University)³ö²úϵͳ¹¤³Ìרҵ£¨Ë«Ë¶Ê¿ÏîÄ¿µÚÒ»Ãû£©£»²©Ê¿½×¶ÎÒÔÂú·Ö³É¾Í±ÏÒµÓÚÐÂ¼ÓÆÂ¹úÁ¢´óѧ(National University of Singapore)½»Í¨¹¤³Ìרҵ£¬²¢»ñ×Üͳ½±Ñ§½ð ¡£²©Ê¿±ÏÒµºó¸°°Ä´óÀûÑÇÎÔÁú¸Ú´óѧ(University of Wollongong)Êýѧϵµ£Èν²Ê¦£¬Òò͹ÆðµÄ½²ÊÚ¿ÆÑÐÒµ¼¨£¬Ò»Äê°ë»ñƽÉú½ÌÖ° ¡£×êÑÐÔ̺¬¼¯×°Ï亽ÔË¡¢¸Û¿ÚÓëÎïÁ÷ÖÎÀí¡¢¶àģʽÁªÔË¡¢½»Í¨¹¤³Ì ¡£½ü¼¸Äê°ä·¢SCI¹ú¼ÊÆÚ¿¯ÂÛÎÄ56ƪ£¨µÚÒ»×÷ÕßÂÛÎÄ28ƪ£©£¬ÆäÖÐÔ̺¬ÔÚ¹ú¶È×Ô¿Æ»ù½ðίÖÎÀíѧ²¿ÈϿɵÄA+ÆÚ¿¯£¨TSºÍTR Part B£©ÉÏ13ƪ¡¢ÖÎÀí¿ÆÑ§ÁìÓòȨÍþ¿¯ÎïEJOR 4ƪ ¡£ ÂÛÎı»ÒýÓôÎÊý³¬¹ý600ÓàÆª´Î ¡£µ£Èιú¼ÊÆÚ¿¯Transportation Research Part EÓëInternational Journal of TransportationµÄ±àίÒÔ¼°28¸öÆÚ¿¯µÄÉó¸åÈË£¬½üÄêÀ´¹²Ö÷³Ö»ò²Î¼ÓÁ˶àÏîÐÂ¼ÓÆÂ¶«·½º£»Ê¼¯ÍÅ£¨NOL£©¹¤Òµ¿ÆÑлù½ðÏîÄ¿¡¢Ïã¸ÛÌìÈ»¿ÆÑ§»ù½ð£¨RGC£©ÏîÄ¿¡¢ÎÔÁú¸Ú´óѧ×êÑлù½ðÏîÄ¿ÒÔ¼°ÖйúÌìÈ»¿ÆÑ§»ù½ðÃæÉÏÏîÄ¿ ¡£µ£ÈκÉÀ¼ÌìÈ»¿ÆÑ§»ù½ð¡¢±ÈÀûʱÌìÈ»¿ÆÑ§»ù½ðÆÀÉóר¼Ò ¡£2011ÄêÖÁ½ñÒѾ­ÊÜÑûÔÚÃÀ¹úŷ·Ã÷´óѧ¡¢°Ä´óÀûÑÇϤÄá´óѧ¡¢ÄªÄÉʲ´óѧ¡¢¸ñÀï·ÆË¹´óѧ¡¢ÐÂÎ÷À¼»ÝÁé¶Ùά¶àÀûÑÇ´óѧ¡¢ÐÂ¼ÓÆÂ¹úÁ¢´óѧ¡¢Ïã¸Û¿Æ¼¼´óѧ¡¢Ïã¸ÛÀí¹¤´óѧ¡¢°Ä´óÀûÑÇά¶àÀûÑǽ»Í¨Ìü¡¢ÃÀ¹ú×Üͳº½°à(APL)È«Çò×ܲ¿¡¢·¨¹ú´ï·É´¬¹«Ë¾(CMA CGM)±±ÃÀ×ܲ¿µÈ×öÁËÂÅ´ÎѧÊõ»ã±¨ ¡£

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The speed-density or flow-density relationship has been considered as the foundation of traffic flow theory. Existing single-regime models calibrated by the least square method (LSM) could not fit the empirical data consistently well both in light-traffic/free-flow conditions and congested/jam conditions. In this paper, first, we point out that the inaccuracy of single-regime models is not caused solely by their functional forms, but also by the sample selection bias. Second, we apply a weighted least square method (WLSM) that addresses the sample selection bias problem. The calibration results for six well-known single-regime models using the WLSM fit the empirical data reasonably well both in light-traffic/free-flow conditions and congested/jam conditions. Third, we conduct a theoretical investigation that reveals the deficiency associated with the LSM is because the expected value of speed (or a function of it) is nonlinear with regard to the density (or a function of it).

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